PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
xcaioxt89e4ygf6MEPPPitter
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (108–128, n=236)65% (345–184, n=529)49% (225–232, n=457)
Consensus PnL—$15K$557K$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #697was PM monthly #987was PM monthly #959 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)79% (65 of 82 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11Politics −5 pts, n=52
Settled positions, side won—91% of 121 at avg 54¢, ROI +38%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 71% of 7)20% (won 14% of 151)53% (won 6% of 545)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 92% of 38)11% (won 34% of 82)13% (won 50% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 89% of 56)19% (won 66% of 144)17% (won 65% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 20)51% (won 93% of 390)16% (won 92% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketxcaioxt89e4ygf6MEPPPitter
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.8KNo $97