PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876tomatosauce30x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
Record (consensus markets)46% (112–133, n=245)67% (6–3, n=9)49% (273–287, n=560)
Consensus PnL$28K-$2.9K$87K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976was PM monthly #879PM monthly #743
Sides with the consensus43% (13 of 30 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won69% of 153 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%100% of 4 at avg 43¢, ROI +17%97% of 137 at avg 59¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 16% of 44)50% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 88% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 77% of 22)25% (won 100% of 1)23% (won 100% of 32)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 86% of 22)0%30% (won 98% of 41)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 95% of 65)25% (won 100% of 1)34% (won 98% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.