PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
taxmoney0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731Ahpo
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (594–614, n=1208)95% (1530–85, n=1615)
Consensus PnL—$813K$124K
Tracked asPM monthly #897was PM monthly #746was PM monthly #861
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)86% (6 of 7 open)100% (13 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Mentions −15 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won—57% of 1153 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%92% of 1836 at avg 88¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—21% (won 37% of 241)5% (won 14% of 97)
Entries 30–50¢—44% (won 56% of 513)3% (won 60% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 70% of 384)6% (won 67% of 102)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 93% of 15)86% (won 99% of 1582)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettaxmoney0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731Ahpo
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $8.8KNo $3.2K