PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sneakysnakeUsername21330xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941ccllar
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (8–9, n=17)89% (48–6, n=54)46% (376–433, n=809)
Consensus PnL—$77K-$54K$12K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #581Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (8 of 8 open)93% (13 of 14 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +9 pts n=10, ROI +8%
Weakest topic——Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 36 at avg 76¢, ROI −4%84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2%98% of 388 at avg 56¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—0%6% (won 8% of 12)5% (won 86% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 100% of 2)3% (won 40% of 5)28% (won 97% of 109)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 100% of 12)9% (won 56% of 18)44% (won 99% of 172)
Entries 70¢ and up—61% (won 100% of 22)82% (won 95% of 155)22% (won 100% of 86)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsneakysnakeUsername21330xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941ccllar
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $920Yes $9.7K—