PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
qWOprt7PitterTreadmilled
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (225–232, n=457)66% (76–39, n=115)
Consensus PnL—$49K$193K
Tracked asPM monthly #510Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #976
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Politics −5 pts, n=52Crypto −14 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won—36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%65% of 120 at avg 63¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—53% (won 6% of 545)21% (won 0% of 25)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 50% of 136)15% (won 56% of 18)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 65% of 175)14% (won 71% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up—16% (won 92% of 163)50% (won 93% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.