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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pvmaipspspsps50x77fa47189ddBA1eeFa3eA7d92a497e370807a23D-1776838051537Bonereaper
Record (consensus markets)78% (21–6, n=27)63% (11398–6646, n=18044)51% (33–32, n=65)86% (43246–6849, n=50095)
Consensus PnL$13K$274K$25K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #376PM monthly #557PM monthly #959PM monthly #273
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus position45% (5 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +39 pts n=7800, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=127, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +32 pts n=36486, ROI +24%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 7800 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%69% of 29 at avg 34¢, ROI +42%98% of 36616 at avg 67¢, ROI +24%
Entries under 30¢—26% (won 100% of 1995)41% (won 58% of 12)4% (won 85% of 1370)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 100% of 988)34% (won 80% of 10)16% (won 95% of 5840)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 100% of 1083)21% (won 67% of 6)35% (won 98% of 12695)
Entries 70¢ and up—48% (won 100% of 3734)3% (won 100% of 1)46% (won 100% of 16711)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpvmaipspspsps50x77fa47189ddBA1eeFa3eA7d92a497e370807a23D-1776838051537Bonereaper
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
opposite sides · consensus Up
—Down $49—Up $47
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
same side · consensus Up
—Down $7—Down $18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
same side · consensus Down
—Up $7—Up $11