PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pvmaimaxiplayerbeheo1230x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)78% (21–6, n=27)80% (615–154, n=769)65% (28–15, n=43)47% (125–143, n=268)
Consensus PnL$13K$74K$40K$19.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #376PM monthly #613was PM monthly #982was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic———College Basketball −12 pts, n=163
Settled positions, side won—80% of 668 at avg 76¢, ROI +4%86% of 28 at avg 56¢, ROI +33%50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 21% of 76)18% (won 40% of 5)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 53% of 58)14% (won 100% of 4)42% (won 47% of 535)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 65% of 57)36% (won 100% of 10)57% (won 51% of 729)
Entries 70¢ and up—71% (won 95% of 477)32% (won 89% of 9)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.