PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pkmgoh920x39dec86bf03744359f839071cdd9a7d1adce7a1d0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff52814StakesForFun
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (24–3, n=27)47% (157–176, n=333)59% (160–110, n=270)
Consensus PnL—$11K-$443K$106K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #771was PM monthly #999PM monthly #57PM monthly #180
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +6 pts n=39, ROI +14%
  • Tennis +8 pts n=10, ROI +29%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——MLB −4 pts, n=14—
Settled positions, side won—84% of 25 at avg 61¢, ROI +19%48% of 322 at avg 47¢, ROI 0%62% of 341 at avg 60¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 67% of 3)16% (won 13% of 52)8% (won 4% of 28)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 75% of 4)40% (won 45% of 128)24% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 90% of 10)33% (won 60% of 106)37% (won 64% of 126)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 88% of 8)11% (won 78% of 36)31% (won 95% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.