PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pkmgoh92AllByMyseIfCentralCastingSmallFishInWhaleStomach
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (100–74, n=174)92% (45–4, n=49)89% (122–15, n=137)
Consensus PnL—$564K$450K$96K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #771PM monthly #471 + pinnedwas PM monthly #439PM monthly #928
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (14 of 22 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———Geopolitics −1 pts, n=44
Settled positions, side won—88% of 736 at avg 77¢, ROI +7%95% of 44 at avg 58¢, ROI +26%86% of 155 at avg 80¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 31% of 89)0%8% (won 8% of 13)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 79% of 38)57% (won 96% of 25)8% (won 62% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 88% of 69)18% (won 100% of 8)8% (won 69% of 13)
Entries 70¢ and up—73% (won 99% of 540)25% (won 91% of 11)75% (won 100% of 116)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.