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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| operationcastle | e333e | MEPP | Pitter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 80% (8–2, n=10) | 65% (345–184, n=529) | 49% (225–232, n=457) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $6.3K | $557K | $49K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #896 | was PM monthly #636 | was PM monthly #959 + pinned | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 79% (65 of 82 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Entertainment −18 pts, n=11 | Politics −5 pts, n=52 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 70% of 10 at avg 58¢, ROI +17% | 66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4% | 36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 20% (won 14% of 151) | 53% (won 6% of 545) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 30% (won 67% of 3) | 11% (won 34% of 82) | 13% (won 50% of 136) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 50% (won 60% of 5) | 19% (won 66% of 144) | 17% (won 65% of 175) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 2) | 51% (won 93% of 390) | 16% (won 92% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | operationcastle | e333e | MEPP | Pitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.8K | No $97 |