PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nz7EsperanzasDESTROYER0x04c3e0754b73eb7738eaf3e2f5ce77017841a2e9NiceDuckBro
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (46–29, n=75)48% (52–57, n=109)65% (161–87, n=248)
Consensus PnL—$14K-$36-$13K
Tracked asPM monthly #929was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #1000Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position64% (9 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Tennis −3 pts, n=83Mentions −7 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won—80% of 35 at avg 45¢, ROI +18%96% of 84 at avg 100¢, ROI −1%65% of 326 at avg 65¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—31% (won 73% of 11)0%13% (won 2% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 57% of 7)0%14% (won 33% of 45)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 90% of 10)0%21% (won 69% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 7)100% (won 96% of 84)52% (won 88% of 171)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.