PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nz7dontworrybaseball0x351f51e4a6e48d36c79ada2e0ed3fe43929db0d8asdaasda
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (110–70, n=180)64% (93–52, n=145)68% (625–289, n=914)
Consensus PnL—$49K$34K$68K
Tracked asPM monthly #929was PM monthly #824was PM monthly #991PM monthly #325
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +43 pts n=110, ROI +44%
  • Crypto +36 pts n=421, ROI +40%
Weakest topic——Esports −3 pts, n=47—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 110 at avg 57¢, ROI +44%63% of 129 at avg 61¢, ROI +9%99% of 421 at avg 63¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—0%7% (won 33% of 9)5% (won 90% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 100% of 24)23% (won 40% of 30)16% (won 99% of 69)
Entries 50–70¢—73% (won 100% of 80)33% (won 60% of 43)43% (won 99% of 182)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 6)36% (won 85% of 47)35% (won 100% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.