PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nz7dontworrybaseball0x8c954010a6edf997aa05835f63c798b33e8f00fedarkumbreon88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (110–70, n=180)60% (3–2, n=5)66% (1624–844, n=2468)
Consensus PnL—$49K$511-$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #929was PM monthly #824was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #833
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +43 pts n=110, ROI +44%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 110 at avg 57¢, ROI +44%0% of 3 at avg 2¢, ROI +80%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—0%100% (won 0% of 3)1% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 100% of 24)0%9% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 50–70¢—73% (won 100% of 80)0%38% (won 100% of 552)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 6)0%51% (won 100% of 743)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.