Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	JoeBlack01	fantasticski	0x39dec86bf03744359f839071cdd9a7d1adce7a1d	LuckyWin
Record (consensus markets)	59% (291–202, n=493)	67% (2–1, n=3)	89% (25–3, n=28)	88% (726–102, n=828)
Consensus PnL	$73K	$23K	$12K	$30K
Tracked as	Hand-picked	was PM monthly #505	was PM monthly #999	was PM monthly #579
Sides with the consensus	61% (20 of 33 open)	no open consensus position	no open consensus position	67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topics	Geopolitics +10 pts n=408, ROI +6% Elections +7 pts n=49, ROI +2% Politics +5 pts n=30, ROI +5%	none with 10+ settled	Tennis +22 pts n=24, ROI +20%	Geopolitics +4 pts n=68, ROI 0%
Weakest topic	Crypto −5 pts, n=48	—	—	NBA −7 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won	69% of 614 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%	67% of 3 at avg 50¢, ROI +29%	84% of 25 at avg 61¢, ROI +19%	88% of 770 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢	23% (won 12% of 140)	0%	12% (won 67% of 3)	7% (won 8% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢	13% (won 47% of 81)	33% (won 100% of 1)	16% (won 75% of 4)	4% (won 42% of 33)
Entries 50–70¢	14% (won 78% of 86)	67% (won 50% of 2)	40% (won 90% of 10)	6% (won 55% of 49)
Entries 70¢ and up	50% (won 97% of 307)	0%	32% (won 88% of 8)	83% (won 99% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	JoeBlack01	fantasticski	0x39dec86bf03744359f839071cdd9a7d1adce7a1d	LuckyWin
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4.5K	—	—	Yes $1
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1.2K	—	—	Yes $1