PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
luckycat8888880xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff52814StakesForFun
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (157–176, n=333)59% (160–110, n=270)
Consensus PnL—-$443K$106K
Tracked asPM monthly #897PM monthly #51PM monthly #186
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +6 pts n=39, ROI +14%
  • Tennis +8 pts n=10, ROI +29%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—MLB −4 pts, n=14—
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 48¢, ROI +55%48% of 322 at avg 47¢, ROI 0%62% of 341 at avg 60¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%16% (won 13% of 52)8% (won 4% of 28)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 45% of 128)24% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 60% of 106)37% (won 64% of 126)
Entries 70¢ and up0%11% (won 78% of 36)31% (won 95% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.