PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
luckycat8888880xd14650532E11324cdaca20f45666486c24679Bf0-17587029536780x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dFI1210x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (384–392, n=776)82% (46–10, n=56)95% (597–29, n=626)
Consensus PnL—$293K$10K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #897was PM monthly #997PM monthly #470was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +18 pts n=708, ROI +17%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 48¢, ROI +55%56% of 710 at avg 37¢, ROI +17%72% of 50 at avg 62¢, ROI +7%98% of 846 at avg 72¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 30% of 206)32% (won 31% of 16)2% (won 85% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 1)47% (won 65% of 334)4% (won 50% of 2)10% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 100% of 2)24% (won 68% of 170)2% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 97% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up0%0%62% (won 94% of 31)65% (won 99% of 551)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.