PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lovedudley0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941ccllar
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (48–6, n=54)46% (376–433, n=809)
Consensus PnL—-$54K$12K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #725Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)93% (13 of 14 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +9 pts n=10, ROI +8%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96—
Settled positions, side won—84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2%98% of 388 at avg 56¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 8% of 12)5% (won 86% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 40% of 5)28% (won 97% of 109)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 56% of 18)44% (won 99% of 172)
Entries 70¢ and up—82% (won 95% of 155)22% (won 100% of 86)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.