PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lonmi25110xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f40xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731thesidehustle
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (8–6, n=14)49% (619–632, n=1251)58% (3168–2301, n=5469)
Consensus PnL—$193$840K-$21K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #894PM monthly #790was PM monthly #746was PM monthly #964
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +20 pts n=2414, ROI +10%
Weakest topic——Mentions −15 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won—92% of 25 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%57% of 1153 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%77% of 2414 at avg 56¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 50% of 2)21% (won 37% of 241)1% (won 84% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—0%44% (won 56% of 513)16% (won 69% of 384)
Entries 50–70¢—0%33% (won 70% of 384)73% (won 75% of 1752)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 96% of 23)1% (won 93% of 15)11% (won 99% of 259)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.