PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lonmi2511kindar0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dFI121vfhjghj1231234
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (8–1, n=9)82% (46–10, n=56)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL—$381K$10K$65K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #894was PM monthly #37PM monthly #470PM monthly #271
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 8 at avg 77¢, ROI +24%72% of 50 at avg 62¢, ROI +7%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0%32% (won 31% of 16)0%
Entries 30–50¢—0%4% (won 50% of 2)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 100% of 3)2% (won 100% of 1)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up—63% (won 100% of 5)62% (won 94% of 31)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.