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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lastminwin | pbshine | SineNooneEI | SlavaUkraini | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (12–2, n=14) | no settled market | 97% (214–6, n=220) | 87% (26–4, n=30) |
| Consensus PnL | $285K | — | $1.0M | $326K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #102 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (43 of 58 open) | 31% (8 of 26 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 78% (7 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lastminwin | pbshine | SineNooneEI | SlavaUkraini |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus No | No $53K | — | — | Yes $690 |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $76K | — | — | Yes $30K |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | Yes $284 | Yes $127 | — | — |