PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market66% (21–11, n=32)66% (16430–8405, n=24835)67% (28–14, n=42)
Consensus PnL—$2.0K$31K$149K
Tracked asPM monthly #557PM monthly #748PM monthly #432PM monthly #440
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 55¢, ROI +45%93% of 46 at avg 91¢, ROI +8%66% of 5040 at avg 62¢, ROI +11%58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 25% of 4)16% (won 12% of 794)36% (won 23% of 13)
Entries 30–50¢0%0%16% (won 35% of 788)8% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 1)0%17% (won 66% of 870)33% (won 67% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up0%91% (won 100% of 42)51% (won 92% of 2588)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.