PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gagarin590xuxuuxuuuuyohan75rocroi
Record (consensus markets)no settled market84% (109–21, n=130)64% (279–154, n=433)67% (28–14, n=42)
Consensus PnL—$1.7K$72K$149K
Tracked asPM monthly #770was PM monthly #902was PM monthly #968PM monthly #440
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—73% of 49 at avg 54¢, ROI +13%81% of 357 at avg 56¢, ROI +24%58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—31% (won 40% of 15)15% (won 31% of 54)36% (won 23% of 13)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 67% of 3)15% (won 72% of 53)8% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 87% of 15)42% (won 91% of 151)33% (won 67% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 94% of 16)28% (won 97% of 99)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.