PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (88–49, n=137)67% (28–14, n=42)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL—$61K$149K$557K
Tracked asPM monthly #664PM monthly #309PM monthly #460was PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +39 pts n=57, ROI +32%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=45, ROI +3%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=12, ROI +23%
Weakest topic———Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won46% of 54 at avg 45¢, ROI +2%79% of 120 at avg 46¢, ROI +20%58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 13% of 8)12% (won 36% of 14)36% (won 23% of 13)20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 41% of 27)33% (won 72% of 39)8% (won 67% of 3)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 65% of 17)55% (won 92% of 66)33% (won 67% of 12)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 100% of 8)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.