PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fleethisco22zberhanbetscap
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (128–83, n=211)65% (20–11, n=31)65% (396–216, n=612)
Consensus PnL—$13K$32K$48K
Tracked asPM monthly #999was PM monthly #713was PM monthly #996was PM monthly #673
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———Finance −8 pts, n=42
Settled positions, side won—68% of 199 at avg 62¢, ROI +8%63% of 38 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%63% of 593 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—0%13% (won 0% of 5)5% (won 29% of 28)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 52% of 31)13% (won 20% of 5)14% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 72% of 108)29% (won 73% of 11)44% (won 55% of 258)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 70% of 60)45% (won 88% of 17)38% (won 85% of 224)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.