← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fleeth | llllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlI | TrippleEX | NiceDuckBro | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 60% (841–571, n=1412) | 60% (301–199, n=500) | 65% (161–87, n=248) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $68K | -$213K | -$13K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #999 | was PM monthly #636 | was PM monthly #883 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 62% (8 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −2 pts, n=25 | Esports −4 pts, n=421 | Mentions −7 pts, n=19 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 59% of 1394 at avg 58¢, ROI +2% | 62% of 486 at avg 64¢, ROI −3% | 65% of 326 at avg 65¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 24% of 66) | 3% (won 23% of 13) | 13% (won 2% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 29% (won 45% of 403) | 14% (won 36% of 67) | 14% (won 33% of 45) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 41% (won 60% of 572) | 49% (won 56% of 237) | 21% (won 69% of 67) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 25% (won 81% of 353) | 35% (won 83% of 169) | 52% (won 88% of 171) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.