PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (841–571, n=1412)60% (3–2, n=5)49% (49–50, n=99)
Consensus PnL—$68K$472-$1.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #957was PM monthly #636was PM monthly #959was PM monthly #958
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −2 pts, n=25—Tennis −4 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won—59% of 1394 at avg 58¢, ROI +2%0% of 3 at avg 2¢, ROI +79%92% of 65 at avg 95¢, ROI −5%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 24% of 66)100% (won 0% of 3)5% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 45% of 403)0%0%
Entries 50–70¢—41% (won 60% of 572)0%0%
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 81% of 353)0%95% (won 94% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.