PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
errormargin3noreasapa0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144vfhjghj1231234
Record (consensus markets)no settled market93% (3625–260, n=3885)93% (56495–4187, n=60682)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL—$139K$7.2M$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #723was PM monthly #977PM monthly #710PM monthly #279
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +36 pts n=61974, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Science −3 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—93% of 3804 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%100% of 61974 at avg 64¢, ROI +38%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 13% of 225)3% (won 100% of 1837)0%
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 51% of 55)16% (won 100% of 9770)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 72% of 39)44% (won 100% of 27390)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 100% of 3485)37% (won 100% of 22977)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.