← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| drugi.mlaz | ohioism | honey-spot | machinelearned | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 83% (23486–4676, n=28162) | 95% (230–11, n=241) | 65% (2206–1190, n=3396) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $98K | $112K | $35K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #924 | PM monthly #606 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #578 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3 at avg 29¢, ROI +71% | 87% of 16534 at avg 68¢, ROI +14% | 97% of 202 at avg 75¢, ROI +23% | 98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 42% of 1641) | 2% (won 40% of 5) | 3% (won 64% of 42) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 76% of 1709) | 11% (won 86% of 22) | 6% (won 93% of 75) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 22% (won 89% of 3583) | 22% (won 100% of 45) | 28% (won 100% of 360) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 58% (won 96% of 9601) | 64% (won 100% of 130) | 63% (won 100% of 818) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | drugi.mlaz | ohioism | honey-spot | machinelearned |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET opposite sides · consensus Up | — | Down $40 | — | Up $423 |