PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dribblingbanana69noreasapabeheo1230xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Record (consensus markets)no settled market93% (3625–260, n=3885)66% (29–15, n=44)93% (56495–4187, n=60682)
Consensus PnL—$139K$44K$7.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #707was PM monthly #977was PM monthly #982PM monthly #706
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)0% (0 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +36 pts n=61974, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Science −3 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—93% of 3804 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%86% of 28 at avg 56¢, ROI +33%100% of 61974 at avg 64¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 13% of 225)18% (won 40% of 5)3% (won 100% of 1837)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 51% of 55)14% (won 100% of 4)16% (won 100% of 9770)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 72% of 39)36% (won 100% of 10)44% (won 100% of 27390)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 100% of 3485)32% (won 89% of 9)37% (won 100% of 22977)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.