PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dribblingbanana69noreasapaNIULAI4Onlylose-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market93% (3625–260, n=3885)93% (7447–566, n=8013)67% (2–1, n=3)
Consensus PnL—$139K$103K$16K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #707was PM monthly #977PM monthly #353was PM monthly #995
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +10 pts n=4923, ROI +13%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Science −3 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—93% of 3804 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%99% of 4923 at avg 88¢, ROI +13%100% of 1 at avg 42¢, ROI +58%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 13% of 225)1% (won 17% of 59)0%
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 51% of 55)1% (won 86% of 42)100% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 72% of 39)3% (won 96% of 139)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 100% of 3485)95% (won 100% of 4683)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.