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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
denizzRememberAmalekSassy-BucketWiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)70% (172–74, n=246)73% (388–147, n=535)33% (1–2, n=3)59% (296–204, n=500)
Consensus PnL$2.3M$824K-$4.2M$899K
Tracked asPM monthly #154PM monthly #152PM monthly #524PM monthly #230
Sides with the consensus89% (24 of 27 open)55% (86 of 156 open)29% (2 of 7 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won————
Entries under 30¢————
Entries 30–50¢————
Entries 50–70¢————
Entries 70¢ and up————

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdenizzRememberAmalekSassy-BucketWiretransferxyz
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $40KYes $549——
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $32KNo $6——
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12KYes $115——
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.3KYes $2.6K——
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11KYes $1.6K——
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $4.8K——
Iran leadership change by December 31?
same side · consensus No
No $5.1KNo $1.1K——