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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| denizz | Kosherlocks | RememberAmalek | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (172–74, n=246) | no settled market | 73% (388–147, n=535) | 92% (471–42, n=513) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.3M | — | $824K | $1.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #154 | PM monthly #807 | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (24 of 27 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 55% (86 of 156 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | denizz | Kosherlocks | RememberAmalek | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | No $40K | — | Yes $549 | — |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32K | — | No $6 | — |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | — | Yes $115 | — |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.3K | — | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | Yes $1.6K | — |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | No $4.8K | — |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? same side · consensus No | No $5.1K | — | No $1.1K | — |