PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
kingofcoinflipsstd0gonnachangelatervfhjghj1231234
Record (consensus markets)31% (57–124, n=181)88% (7878–1079, n=8957)64% (157–87, n=244)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL$354K$34K$42K$65K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #918was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #944PM monthly #279
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +20 pts n=150, ROI −5%
  • Crypto +47 pts n=20820, ROI +44%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 152 at avg 68¢, ROI +2%100% of 20820 at avg 52¢, ROI +44%98% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +10%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 23% of 22)0% (won 45% of 65)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 100% of 7)12% (won 99% of 2436)8% (won 80% of 5)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 97% of 33)86% (won 100% of 17938)41% (won 100% of 24)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 90)2% (won 96% of 381)51% (won 100% of 30)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.