PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
kingofcoinflipsstd0NIULAI4Onlylose-
Record (consensus markets)31% (57–124, n=181)88% (7878–1079, n=8957)93% (7447–566, n=8013)67% (2–1, n=3)
Consensus PnL$354K$34K$103K$16K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #918was PM monthly #985PM monthly #353was PM monthly #995
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +20 pts n=150, ROI −5%
  • Crypto +47 pts n=20820, ROI +44%
  • Crypto +10 pts n=4923, ROI +13%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 152 at avg 68¢, ROI +2%100% of 20820 at avg 52¢, ROI +44%99% of 4923 at avg 88¢, ROI +13%100% of 1 at avg 42¢, ROI +58%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 23% of 22)0% (won 45% of 65)1% (won 17% of 59)0%
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 100% of 7)12% (won 99% of 2436)1% (won 86% of 42)100% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 97% of 33)86% (won 100% of 17938)3% (won 96% of 139)0%
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 90)2% (won 96% of 381)95% (won 100% of 4683)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkingofcoinflipsstd0NIULAI4Onlylose-
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
same side · consensus Up
—Up $72Up $361—