PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
catatau92masterofcsBlackMoney7Sisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market79% (30–8, n=38)85% (17–3, n=20)95% (510–28, n=538)
Consensus PnL—$13K$23K$466K
Tracked asPM monthly #208PM monthly #631PM monthly #894PM monthly #167
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 22¢, ROI +62%95% of 96 at avg 60¢, ROI +38%90% of 20 at avg 49¢, ROI +39%99% of 714 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 67% of 6)10% (won 100% of 2)2% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢0%21% (won 95% of 20)35% (won 71% of 7)25% (won 98% of 176)
Entries 50–70¢0%46% (won 95% of 44)50% (won 100% of 10)48% (won 99% of 342)
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 100% of 26)5% (won 100% of 1)25% (won 100% of 181)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.