PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
boyau0xe7d35952ac1792cec67765261a85a4ccb466b4830x8c954010a6edf997aa05835f63c798b33e8f00feNiceDuckBro
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (90–66, n=156)60% (3–2, n=5)65% (161–87, n=248)
Consensus PnL—$3.8K$511-$13K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #776was PM monthly #997was PM monthly #1000Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position64% (9 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +22 pts n=23, ROI +29%
  • MLB +12 pts n=16, ROI +16%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Mentions −7 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won—77% of 62 at avg 49¢, ROI +27%0% of 3 at avg 2¢, ROI +80%65% of 326 at avg 65¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 50% of 6)100% (won 0% of 3)13% (won 2% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 83% of 23)0%14% (won 33% of 45)
Entries 50–70¢—53% (won 79% of 33)0%21% (won 69% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%0%52% (won 88% of 171)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.