PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
borderlocketklondbeachboy400gringo00
Record (consensus markets)98% (44–1, n=45)71% (5–2, n=7)69% (43–19, n=62)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$19K$35K$5.8M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #711was PM monthly #503was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NBA −4 pts, n=96—
Settled positions, side won100% of 40 at avg 59¢, ROI +41%100% of 5 at avg 36¢, ROI +70%57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 3)40% (won 100% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 10)40% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 57% of 63)0%
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 13)20% (won 100% of 1)55% (won 53% of 118)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 100% of 14)0%13% (won 86% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.