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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
babybellsgmpm2lastminwinRememberAmalek
Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (1–0, n=1)86% (12–2, n=14)70% (143–62, n=205)
Consensus PnL—$254K$285K$495K
Tracked asPM monthly #985PM monthly #17PM monthly #102PM monthly #149
Sides with the consensus80% (4 of 5 open)0% (0 of 1 open)71% (41 of 58 open)55% (85 of 155 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won————
Entries under 30¢————
Entries 30–50¢————
Entries 50–70¢————
Entries 70¢ and up————

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbabybellsgmpm2lastminwinRememberAmalek
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $75KYes $77
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $72KYes $189
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $55KYes $7.5K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $54KYes $4.8K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $38KYes $56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $31KYes $3.4K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $26KNo $20
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $15KNo $10K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $15K
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $5.2KNo $10K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $3.0KYes $33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $195No $1.3K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
——No $201KNo $3.1K
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $64KYes $598
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
——No $27KNo $10K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $4.5KYes $22K
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.9KYes $8.0K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $7.0KYes $2.2K
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $4.9KYes $27
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.5KYes $13
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.3KYes $16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.8KYes $11
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.7KYes $11
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $868Yes $11
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $824Yes $6
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $350Yes $18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $275Yes $26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $135Yes $124