PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
akoollgo7897765dSmallFishInWhaleStomachcalm919
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (74–9, n=83)89% (122–15, n=137)89% (226–28, n=254)
Consensus PnL—$45K$96K$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #841PM monthly #319PM monthly #926PM monthly #754
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Geopolitics −1 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won—93% of 98 at avg 52¢, ROI +42%86% of 155 at avg 80¢, ROI +3%92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 86% of 7)8% (won 8% of 13)0%
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 94% of 32)8% (won 62% of 13)11% (won 69% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—51% (won 92% of 50)8% (won 69% of 13)32% (won 93% of 76)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 100% of 9)75% (won 100% of 116)57% (won 96% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.