PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
akooll0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592SmallFishInWhaleStomachcalm919
Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (705–64, n=769)89% (122–15, n=137)89% (226–28, n=254)
Consensus PnL—$14.4M$96K$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #841was PM monthly #999PM monthly #926PM monthly #754
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Geopolitics −1 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won—99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%86% of 155 at avg 80¢, ROI +3%92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 14)8% (won 8% of 13)0%
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 97% of 113)8% (won 62% of 13)11% (won 69% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 99% of 477)8% (won 69% of 13)32% (won 93% of 76)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 127)75% (won 100% of 116)57% (won 96% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.