PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Winning2...gt7238ccllar
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (425–492, n=917)46% (376–433, n=809)
Consensus PnL—$9.9K$12K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976was PM monthly #975was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 360 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%98% of 388 at avg 56¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 100% of 27)5% (won 86% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢—52% (won 100% of 187)28% (won 97% of 109)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 100% of 82)44% (won 99% of 172)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 100% of 64)22% (won 100% of 86)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.