PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Winning2...YYYYY999Vps1Gggggrr88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (2585–2638, n=5223)92% (175–15, n=190)89% (101–12, n=113)
Consensus PnL—$167K$54K$163K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #976PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #139was PM monthly #654
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (15 of 27 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tennis −1 pts, n=386——
Settled positions, side won—51% of 4315 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%96% of 45 at avg 84¢, ROI +32%100% of 103 at avg 57¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 22% of 597)4% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 45% of 1867)9% (won 75% of 4)26% (won 100% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 59% of 1253)11% (won 80% of 5)63% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 79% of 598)76% (won 100% of 34)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.