← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Tysha | yen4u | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | 0x2Cc8Cc54F50DbB45fE346612821CA93B6E93262B-1780571709186 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 91% (654–64, n=718) | 89% (48–6, n=54) | 95% (456–22, n=478) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $67K | -$54K | -$138K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #789 | PM monthly #596 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #584 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (22 of 36 open) | 89% (42 of 47 open) | 100% (14 of 14 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=408 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 613 at avg 90¢, ROI +3% | 84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 448 at avg 98¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 4% (won 26% of 27) | 6% (won 8% of 12) | 0% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 2% (won 57% of 14) | 3% (won 40% of 5) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 5% (won 80% of 30) | 9% (won 56% of 18) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 88% (won 99% of 542) | 82% (won 95% of 155) | 99% (won 98% of 445) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Tysha | yen4u | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | 0x2Cc8Cc54F50DbB45fE346612821CA93B6E93262B-1780571709186 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.9K | No $23K | — |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? same side · consensus No | — | No $16K | No $3.2K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $9 | Yes $9.7K | — |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | No $790 | — |