PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NT.9980xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f40xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-17735315207310x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (8–6, n=14)49% (619–632, n=1251)95% (597–29, n=626)
Consensus PnL—$193$840K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #901PM monthly #790was PM monthly #746was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Mentions −15 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won—92% of 25 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%57% of 1153 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%98% of 846 at avg 72¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 50% of 2)21% (won 37% of 241)2% (won 85% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—0%44% (won 56% of 513)10% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—0%33% (won 70% of 384)22% (won 97% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 96% of 23)1% (won 93% of 15)65% (won 99% of 551)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.