PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NT.998Debosnys0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dFI121vfhjghj1231234
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (1259–124, n=1383)82% (46–10, n=56)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL—$79K$10K$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #901Hand-pickedPM monthly #470PM monthly #271
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)80% (37 of 46 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Weather −6 pts, n=50——
Settled positions, side won—91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%72% of 50 at avg 62¢, ROI +7%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 9% of 92)32% (won 31% of 16)0%
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 31% of 32)4% (won 50% of 2)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 57% of 51)2% (won 100% of 1)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up—91% (won 98% of 1701)62% (won 94% of 31)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.