PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MAGATheeStallionavo-edgeuninformedflowwPitter
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (328–384, n=712)66% (16430–8405, n=24835)49% (225–232, n=457)
Consensus PnL—$20K$31K$49K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #973was PM monthly #918PM monthly #432Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +40 pts n=347, ROI +33%
Weakest topic———Politics −5 pts, n=52
Settled positions, side won—93% of 363 at avg 52¢, ROI +33%66% of 5040 at avg 62¢, ROI +11%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—15% (won 64% of 53)16% (won 12% of 794)53% (won 6% of 545)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 97% of 134)16% (won 35% of 788)13% (won 50% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢—20% (won 96% of 71)17% (won 66% of 870)17% (won 65% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 100% of 105)51% (won 92% of 2588)16% (won 92% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.