PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kaiquecfs0xaBea08725590a4C6Ae7c8E63214C9628BbC772AE-1781431873018PitterMEPP
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (88–49, n=137)49% (225–232, n=457)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL—$61K$49K$557K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #887PM monthly #309Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +39 pts n=57, ROI +32%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=45, ROI +3%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=12, ROI +23%
Weakest topic——Politics −5 pts, n=52Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won—79% of 120 at avg 46¢, ROI +20%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 36% of 14)53% (won 6% of 545)20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 72% of 39)13% (won 50% of 136)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—55% (won 92% of 66)17% (won 65% of 175)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 92% of 163)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKaiquecfs0xaBea08725590a4C6Ae7c8E63214C9628BbC772AE-1781431873018PitterMEPP
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $97No $4.8K