PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Johnny2d50xef81a375c9a02906780e3b8241145ea10ee7222duninformedflowwMEPP
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (2–2, n=4)66% (16430–8405, n=24835)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL—$249$31K$557K
Tracked asPM monthly #958was PM monthly #995PM monthly #432was PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position65% (24 of 37 open)79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won—0% of 2 at avg 2¢, ROI +79%66% of 5040 at avg 62¢, ROI +11%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—100% (won 0% of 2)16% (won 12% of 794)20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢—0%16% (won 35% of 788)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—0%17% (won 66% of 870)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%51% (won 92% of 2588)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.