PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Johnny2d5Lula.desistiuyohan75Pitter
Record (consensus markets)no settled market87% (33–5, n=38)64% (279–154, n=433)49% (225–232, n=457)
Consensus PnL—$3.2K$72K$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #958was PM monthly #966was PM monthly #968Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———Politics −5 pts, n=52
Settled positions, side won—93% of 27 at avg 52¢, ROI +32%81% of 357 at avg 56¢, ROI +24%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 50% of 2)15% (won 31% of 54)53% (won 6% of 545)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 89% of 9)15% (won 72% of 53)13% (won 50% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 100% of 12)42% (won 91% of 151)17% (won 65% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—15% (won 100% of 4)28% (won 97% of 99)16% (won 92% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.