PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FeedTheBigBirdhoodquantalexubetGoalLineGhost
Record (consensus markets)51% (30–29, n=59)95% (19827–986, n=20813)46% (56–65, n=121)59% (2999–2052, n=5051)
Consensus PnL$6.5K$18K$171K$26.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #904PM monthly #581PM monthly #741PM monthly #123
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)0% (0 of 2 open)48% (19 of 40 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 29 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%98% of 12257 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%50% of 139 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢0%0% (won 15% of 26)8% (won 45% of 11)9% (won 94% of 286)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 90% of 10)1% (won 28% of 78)50% (won 53% of 70)11% (won 98% of 330)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 100% of 18)1% (won 54% of 94)38% (won 45% of 53)22% (won 99% of 697)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 1)98% (won 99% of 12059)4% (won 80% of 5)58% (won 100% of 1787)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFeedTheBigBirdhoodquantalexubetGoalLineGhost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $15KYes $5.5K